{"title":"Sergey A. Nefedov","description":"\u003cp\u003eWelcome to our collection featuring the works of \u003cem\u003eSergey A. Nefedov\u003c\/em\u003e, a distinguished author in the field of historical analysis. Known for his insightful exploration of societal structures and transformations, Nefedov brings a unique perspective to the realms of History and Military studies.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eOne of his notable books, \u003cem\u003eSecular Cycles\u003c\/em\u003e, co-authored with Peter Turchin, delves into the cyclical nature of historical dynamics, examining the patterns and processes that have shaped civilisations over time. Through meticulous research and compelling narratives, Nefedov provides an accessible yet profound look into the complex ebb and flow of human societies.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eWith a keen focus on historical cycles, this collection is an invaluable resource for readers interested in understanding how past societal trends and structures influence our present and future. Whether you're a seasoned history buff or new to the subject, Sergey A. Nefedov’s works offer a rich blend of educational insights and engaging storytelling.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eBrowse through this selection to explore the depth and breadth of historical cycles, as expertly articulated by one of the brightest thinkers in the field.\u003c\/p\u003e","products":[{"product_id":"secular-cycles-by-peter-turchin-9780691136967","title":"Secular Cycles","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eMany historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003ePeter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations—what the authors call \u003cem\u003esecular cycles\u003c\/em\u003e. \u003cem\u003eSecular Cycles\u003c\/em\u003e elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThis book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eIncorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications. An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, \u003cem\u003eSecular Cycles\u003c\/em\u003e will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"NewSouth Books","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47000737546476,"sku":"9780691136967","price":205.0,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/1356813482434.jpg?v=1763301447"}],"url":"https:\/\/bookhero.pro\/collections\/sergey-a-nefedov.oembed","provider":"Book Hero","version":"1.0","type":"link"}