{"title":"Kit Yates","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eKit Yates\u003c\/strong\u003e offers a captivating journey into the unexpected complexities of science and nature. His writing invites readers to explore fascinating phenomena with a fresh perspective, blending rigorous insight with engaging storytelling.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eThrough works like \u003cem\u003eHow to Expect the Unexpected\u003c\/em\u003e and \u003cem\u003eYou Don't Know What You're Missing\u003c\/em\u003e, Yates challenges assumptions and reveals the hidden wonders that shape our world, making science accessible and thought-provoking for all curious minds.\u003c\/p\u003e","products":[{"product_id":"how-to-expect-the-unexpected-by-kit-yates-9781529408690","title":"How to Expect the Unexpected","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eA Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book!' \u003cb\u003ePhilip Pullman\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e'Absolutely fascinating' \u003cb\u003eJames O'Brien\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e'An exceptional book - readable, funny, and more needed than ever' \u003cb\u003eDr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of \u003ci\u003eUltra-Processed People\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eAre you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eHow can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eWhy did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eHow do you prevent a nuclear war?\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eEver since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?).\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eFor just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e\u003ci\u003eHow to Expect the Unexpected\u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts, and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46854593085676,"sku":"9781529408690","price":29.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/9781529408690.jpg?v=1759248284"},{"product_id":"you-dont-know-what-youre-missing-by-kit-yates-9781529438048","title":"You Don't Know What You're Missing","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWe all like to think we're making decisions based on reality, but in fact, we're almost always working from incomplete information. And when \u003cem\u003eyou don't know what you don't know\u003c\/em\u003e, it can be impossible to navigate successfully.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n\u003cp\u003eIn \u003cem\u003eYou Don't Know What You're Missing\u003c\/em\u003e, mathematician Kit Yates explores the blind spots, gaps in our knowledge, and how we make sense of the world given we usually have an unfinished picture. From avoiding common traps and pitfalls to filling in the gaps without guessing, it shows us how to turn our misses into hits.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"Hachette Aotearoa New Zealand","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47105274380524,"sku":"9781529438048","price":39.99,"currency_code":"NZD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0705\/7784\/8556\/files\/9781529438048.jpg?v=1765787361"},{"product_id":"you-dont-know-what-youre-missing-by-kit-yates-9781529438031","title":"You Don't Know What You're Missing","description":"\u003cdiv class=\"book-description\"\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWe all like to think we're making decisions based on reality, but in fact, we're almost always working from incomplete information. 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